Polls

The latest for the Sun shows the Tory lead falling by three points. At the same time respondents mostly thought the Tories were running the best campaign and Cameron was best at getting his message across. Essentially the polls are bouncing around the same two or three points up one moment for the Tories, down the next and never quite enough to win outright. Could it be that voters are not sure if they like the message?

There is one consistent trend in recent polls; the advance of the Lib Dems. That may have a bigger impact than the bare figures suggest. It will be interesting to see what effect, if any, the manifestos have by this time next week. We will also have had the first TV debate.