A way Ahead
This blog has kept neutral throughout this election campaign. Most of its analysis has been born out by events. This is how things now stand.
Arithmetically in terms of seats a Con/Lib coalition looks sound and has a good majority, so, the argument goes, it would be stable and would offer strong government. This may be quite wrong. The Tory party sings form a quite different hymn sheet to the Lib Dems. The old Liberal party was ideologically close to the old Conservative party in the post WWII period. Both were anti socialist. Post Thatcher and post the SDP and the amalgamation with the Liberals to form the the current party, the Lib Dems are a progressive party of the left. They sing from the same ideological hymn sheet as Labour,the Nationalist parties and even the DUP, which though unionist, has working class roots and left of centre domestic policies.
Therefore a Cabinet in which the likes of Redwood and Davis and Howard, brought in by Cameron to appease the Right, sit alongside the pro Europe Clarke, together with Huhne, Cable and Clegg has huge instability, not just within itself but in the various groupings of backbenchers making up what will then become the Con/Lib governing coalition. It may have a big majority in the Commons but it will be badly split within itself. Pressure from those groups (pro and anti Europe, cut now or later, voting reform or no) cannot allow government other than by perpetual compromise or fudge. The arithmetic is in its favour, but the maths are against it.
The maths are these. The Tories have 10.7 million votes (Thatcher always polled over 13 million and Major achieved 14 million). The progressive parties described above of which a Lab/Lib coalition would be built have a popular vote totalling 16.6 million. This shows why the issue of votes/seats is at the heart of the constitutional difficulties.
A coalition based on this huge electoral majority in terms of votes, which do have value in a proper democracy, would not be as unstable in the Commons as some try to portray. This is because though there may be arguments over detail, all agreee on the fundamentals. With the Con/Lib version they make a deal on the details, but disagree on the fundamentals. Your imagination can do the rest.
The Con/Lib coalition is likely to become, as the Governor of the bank said, the most unpoular in modern times. It is doubtful whether there will even be a referendum on voting reform. Without it at the next election, the Lib Dems, as handmaidens to the perpetrators of the horrors of what is to come, will face oblivion. Labour, rebuilt by a new leader, will sweep back to power as the Progressive salvation to which all the 16 million will flock.
The Lab/Con coalition will push through electoral reform which will mean that, even if a new election is forced upon them, the likely outcome will be the progressive parties still get the most votes and the Lib/Dems will get the parliamentary status their voting tally warrants.They will live on as part of the core political structure of a reivgorated democracy.
By the end of today we shall know where we are headed and the Lib Dems will know wheter they have a long term future. If the Tories go into opposition they wil know that if they can force an election before voting reform a handful of gains will give them a majority. After reform and the prize of government will be out of their reach for a very long time indeed.
I’m curious if you ever have problems with what people post? Recently it seems to have become an epidemic, although it seems to be changing for the better. Do you agree?
Excellent ideas throughout this post, you just gained a brand new reader. Do you have any feedback on your most recent post though?
Great stuff.I’d like to suggest taking a look at things like sausages. What do you think?
Relying on your instanct is tough for most of us. Many of us develop this ability over the course of our life. Frankly it takes more than just happening to happen.
Interesting approach towards this. What are your thoughts on expansion on a global scale? Sometimes people get a little upset with global expansion. I’ll be around soon to check out your response.
It’s pretty interesting that the mainstream media has changed the way it looks at this recently dont you think? Now it seems that it is discussed thoroughly and more in depth. It’s that time to chagnge our stance on this though.
This is tough. I’m not saying you are responsible, I think it is everyone else out there that isn’t taking notice.
This is a good subject to talk about. Usually when I find stuff like this I stumble it. I don’t think this would be the best to submit though. I will be sure to submit something else though.
Very good suggestions, I just added this to my RSS feed. Do you have any feedback on your most recent post though?
Sometimes I question the internet and what is posted? Honestly the internet used to be like a different place, except that recently it seems to have become better. What are your thoughts?
Have you noticed the news has changed its approach recently? Now it seems that it is discussed thoroughly and more in depth. Overall though I’m looking for a change.
Sometimes I question the internet and what is posted? The internet never used to be like that, although it seems to be changing for the better. What are your thoughts?
Wonderful solutions.I’d like to recommend checking out things like sausages. What do you think?
Sometimes I question the internet and what is posted? Honestly the internet used to be like a different place, although it seems to be changing for the better. What are your thoughts?
Trusting to make the right decisions can be tough. It takes years to build confidence. Frankly it takes more than just happening to happen.
Interesting point of view. Wondering what you think of it’s implication on society as a whole though? There are times when things like this begin to have global expansion and frustration. I will be back soon and follow up with a response.
Great stuff.You may want to actually consider a lot around the idea of french fries. What exactly are you looking for though?
This makes me somewhat upset. I’m not calling you out though, personally I think that its those that aren’t motivated to change.
This is a good subject to talk about. Usually when I find stuff like this I stumble it. This article probably won’t do well with that crowd. I will be sure to submit something else though.
I’m wondering if you have noticed how the media has changed? What used to neve be brought up or discussed has changed. It’s that time to chagnge our stance on this though.
Have you noticed the news has changed its approach recently? Now it seems that it is discussed thoroughly and more in depth. Frankly it is about time we see a change.
You need to get upset! Simply letting the quota happen isn’t acceptable. This will help you stay above the curve.
This sort of thing needs to happen! Really its a must to take a look past everything and get upset. Generally this will allow you to take the inititive to make things happen.
Lovely discerning post. Never thought that it was that elementary. Extolment to you!
If you are like a lot of people you can simply overlook this. The best thing you can do is become relevant with yourself and faithful with your own morals. This will lead to a sad and unfulfilling life.
Trusting to make the right decisions can be tough. It can take many people a long time to build a strong moral system. It doesn’t really just happen if you know what I mean.
Depending on yourself to make the decisions can really be upsetting and frustrating. Many of us develop this ability over the course of our life. Frankly it takes more than just happening to happen.
Interesting point of view. I’m curious to think what type of impact this would have globally? There are times when things like this begin to have global expansion and frustration. I’ll check back to see what you have to say.
Have you ever wondered who posts some of this stuff that you come across? Honestly the internet used to be like a different place, although it seems to be changing for the better. What are your thoughts?
Relying on your instanct is tough for most of us. It takes years to build confidence. It doesn’t really just happen if you know what I mean.
This sort of thing needs to happen! Get motivated and get pissed off. Generally this will allow you to take the inititive to make things happen.
It’s pretty interesting that the mainstream media has changed the way it looks at this recently dont you think? Now it seems that it is discussed thoroughly and more in depth. Frankly it is about time we see a change.
Great stuff.You may want to actually consider a lot around the idea of graphic bomb. What exactly are you looking for though?
We use WordPress. Good luck!
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