Trump and the Mid-Terms

There are three possibilities. The first is that Trump wins and the democrats fail in their bid to regain the House. There is no Blue Wave. The second is there is a Democratic surge and the Trump presidency is hobbled by a hostile Congress. The third is that there is a blue wave in the liberal parts of the US, but the Republican vote holds up in the heartlands and blue collar urban neighbourhoods. In that event not a lot will change. Both sides will claim success, with maybe the House margin between the parties narrowed, but control remaining in Republican hands.

The demographics will shift however, whatever the party count in the end. Many old and machine politicians on both sides are retiring and their replacements may well be not only younger but women new to politics and Me Too women at that. That will be a change more profound than Trump himself. And very good for America.