EU Elections UK. Beware A Sea Change

First of all refer to previous posts for an explanation of why tinkering with our constitution has made the government dysfunctional on the major issue of the day, Brexit, which in turn has sucked the oxygen out of  the Tory government’s ability to do anything.

Next understand the importance in democratic politics of a left, a right and a centre. A lot of rubbish is talked about governing from the centre ground. It works very well if you have a strong left and right, with positive though opposing agendas, from which the centre can pull the best bits from both and build a dynamic consensus to get things done, without ignoring the interests of the real people of both these powerful wings. But if the centre becomes an end in itself and pays no heed to either wing, it will govern only for itself, creating anger and hardship beyond its own ringfence. That will lead to populist uprising from both left and right. That is what is happening in the UK now.

Brexit, Corbyn and Farage and the SNP are all part of this and it is coming to a head in the elections on Thursday. The vote is now not about the two main parties, Labour and Conservative. It is about hitting the political class  and the establishment who ignore the people, all lined up under the Brexit Party flag, led by Farage having the time of his life.

It also is about hate for the wreckers in society and politics who clamber up the pile on slogans and false promises based upon prejudice and unicorn ideology, who are wrecking the country with the misplaced dreams. That anger is flocking to the Lib Dems, the Greens and the SNP as well as minor parties and independents. There is no clear leader, but that might be a strength, because it is a mass which has formed its own opinion, not one high on a flawed vision pedalled by a charismatic populist.

When the votes are counted there will be a dramatic outcome. You will have to understand it by doing some double think. Not to read too much into it, but also to see more in it than at first meets the eye.